Predicting mode of delivery using mid‑pregnancy ultrasonographic measurement of cervical length among nulliparous women

Authors

  • Hossam Abdelfatah Mansour Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Mansoura University Hospital MUH, Mansoura, Egypt
  • Ruqayyah Ali Ahmed Department of General Medicine and Surgery, Batterjee Medical College for Science and Technology, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
  • Ahmed Mohamed Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt
  • Basem Hamed Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Zagazig University Hospital ZUH, Zagazig, Egypt
  • Alaa Eldin Abdelsalam Ahmed Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Zagazig University Hospital ZUH, Zagazig, Egypt
  • Ekramy A. Mohamed Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Zagazig University Hospital ZUH, Zagazig, Egypt

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18203/2320-1770.ijrcog20252154

Keywords:

Cervical length, Delivery, Nulliparous, Transvaginal ultrasonography

Abstract

Background: Numerous studies have demonstrated that measuring the cervical length using transvaginal ultrasonography in singleton pregnancies at 20-24 weeks gestation can be a valuable technique for predicting the likelihood of a severe preterm birth. The association between cervical length at 20-24 weeks and the likelihood of a term cesarean section birth has, however, not been well researched. The purpose of this research is to ascertain if mid-pregnancy ultrasonography cervical length measurements are effective in anticipating term cesarean sections. Our hypothesis in this study is that there is no correlation between mid-pregnancy cervical length and the chance of a cesarean section during term labor.

Methods: One hundred pregnant women, ranging in gestation from twenty to twenty-four weeks, were enrolled in the study. Individuals were chosen from the prenatal outpatient clinic. The gestational age varied from 36 to 40 (38.7±2.2 weeks). Of the cases, 53 women (53%) had a normal birth, and 47 women (47%) had a cesarean section. Four sets of data were identified based on the cervical length quartile: first quartile (15-24 mm), second quartile (25-29 mm), third quartile (30-39 mm), and fourth quartile (40-50 mm).

Results: Patients with cervical lengths in the second quartile (18.2%) had the lowest rate of cesarean sections (18.6%), whereas patients with cervical lengths in the fourth quartile (96.6%) had considerably higher rates (p<0.00). Patients in the fourth quartile had a substantially higher (p<0.00) frequency of cesarean sections due to labor failure (6.38%). Logistic regression analysis revealed that the odds ratio (OR) for cesarean section in labor was lowest among patients in the first quartile (OR=1.94) and highest among patients in the fourth quartile (OR=2.95). The cervical length quartile did not significantly differ in terms of neonatal outcomes, with exception of birth weight, which did significantly differ.

Conclusions: For patients who are nulliparous, the cervical length measured by transvaginal ultrasonography at mid-gestation can be used to predict the chance of a cesarean delivery at term.

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References

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Published

2025-07-01

How to Cite

Mansour, H. A., Ahmed, R. A., Mohamed, A., Hamed, B., Ahmed, A. E. A., & Mohamed , E. A. (2025). Predicting mode of delivery using mid‑pregnancy ultrasonographic measurement of cervical length among nulliparous women. International Journal of Reproduction, Contraception, Obstetrics and Gynecology, 14(8), 2433–2438. https://doi.org/10.18203/2320-1770.ijrcog20252154

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Original Research Articles